drew brees deep ball stats career

I agree that the penalty seems overly harsh. All rights reserved. That year, Brees led the league in passing yards and touchdowns on deep throws, going 32 for 58 with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. View a side-by-side comparison of Drew Brees and Jameis Winston. Every offseason, I independently chart quarterbacks on what I like to call the Deep Ball Project. Not to mention that "inaccurate completions" and "accurate incompletions" are not straightforward like "dropped interceptions." *Numbers taken from the 2016-19 NFL seasons. The reason he ranked so high was his success on those 40-plus-yard plays, as well as the fact that he took really good care of the ball, limiting interceptions and dangerous throws. Although Next Gen Stats estimates that Brees and Garoppolo have made the easiest throws of any QB this season each has an expected completion percentage of about 71 percent based on the depth (and other characteristics) of their throws Brees has somehow managed to exceed that expectation, completing his passes at a rate 1.9 percentage points higher than wed expect of an average QB with the same set of throws. (Matt Ryan is proof that quarterbacks can throw interceptions that aren't on them.). They found that, from 2014 to 2017, he averaged about six completions on these throws every year. To be fair, these examples happened with QBs with either small sample sizes (where a few more/less accurate passes would really shift the %), or a big difference in attempts. College Football at Sports-Reference.com Blog and Articles. NFL Pass Completion % Career Leaders - Pro-Football-Reference.com There were a number of times he threw 100 MPH fastball to back standing 10 yards away. In comparison to previous years when he was a downfield passing master, Roethlisberger's decision-making was awful last year, constantly making questionable throws to the point where he looked like he was chucking the ball up regardless if the receiver was open or not. Brissett had awful deep passing numbers despite having multiple players who could run blazing 40-yard dash times, and thats a big reason the team has pivoted to Rivers at the position for 2020. Carson Wentz had the highest percentage of open-window passes to throw to (51.8 percent), yet he was third-to-last in accuracy to those areas (48.8 percent). Allen was awful when it came to deep passing, but Bridgewater much like Carr was actually good at it when he convinced himself to actually throw deep. A massive part of being a great QB is knowing your receiver's strengths and playing to them. On the flip side, nobody has ever had to convince Matthew Stafford to throw deep when the opportunity presents itself, and even in an injury-shortened season saw him attempt eight more deep passes than Carr did all season long. The Chicago Bears, New Orleanss Week 8 opponent, have the NFLs sixth-ranked defense by EPA (and are fourth-best against the pass), so theyll surely be a tough opponent for Brees and the Saints short-passing scheme. . The Bruins Choke. Carson Palmer's swan-song year was a shadow of his phenomenal 2015 season, but he faced the highest rate of pressure on downfield throws. John Kinsley is on Twitter @brickwallblitz. If thats not enough, there are another three years of gifs/studies to consider. Learning How to Successfully Predict the Top NFL Prospects. Cousins overall deep numbers werent spectacular, but when he hit on a shot it tended to be an absolute dime. the greatest statistical quarterback in NFL history, NFL Power Rankings: The War of Attrition Leaves Some Teams Scrambling. Next is how accurate each quarterback fared in certain scenarios such as clean pockets, pressure, off-balance throws, into open windows, and into tight windows, while also looking at inaccurate completions and accurate incompletions. As Lukas Matsson closes in on the acquisition of Waystar, Kendall pitches a revolutionary product: fancy retirement homes? Drew Brees Stats, Height, Weight, Position, Draft, College | Pro but Brissett's ranking is very difficult to accept, especially considering: According to ESPN, he completed 10 of 35 attempts over 20 yards in 2017. He forced the highest amount of inaccurate completions with 15, and constantly threw the ball to defenders, getting away with dropped interceptions. These subjective to objective metrics never seem very accurate to me. Some school's results have been altered by retroactive NCAA penalties. Please note that the four most important stats to consider are accuracy percentage (ACC%), Inaccurate Completions (INACC CMP), Accurate Incompletions (ACC INCMP), and Efficiency Score. Drew Lock took just 11 deep shots over the season, so this number comes with a significant sample size caveat, but it felt more worthwhile than analyzing Joe Flaccos struggles. He managed this despite playing with some of the least efficient receivers of 2017 (even Delanie Walker let him down) as well as being in a Mike Mularkey offense that gave him great protection but very few open windows. Not only that, he was also phenomenal. There is an entire five-minute video of Breess 70-yard touchdown passes, many of which are bombs thrown over the top. His scouting report says he struggles with the deep ball because he had a low completion percentage - its possible his receivers just stunk. Buccaneers: Making Drew Brees throw the deep ball is the path to victory Some of it comes down to Kamaras unique talent as a receiver; no other running back is even close to being as valuable a pass catcher, according to Football Outsiders Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement metric. The pass is dropped by the defense and the quarterback is at fault. Drew Brees | Biography, Stats, College, & Facts | Britannica But so far this season, Brees has generally ignored Sanders, who has just four catches for 37 yards. So he is not only as productive as Brisset but additionally gets you another 650 yards at a great yards per attemp rate. After Cooks, the Saints traded for Ted Ginn, who ran a 4.38 40-yard dash. In addition to the efficiency score, are the situational splits (play action, open window, tight window, etc.) As always seems to be the case, Matt Ryans overall play was better than the box score numbers would indicate. If you're scouting college players and see Manziel lobbing up passes to Mike Evans and want that on your team, you get it by drafting Mike Evans, not Manziel. How big of a role did Sean Payton play in Drew . In reply to Re: The Deep Ball Project by ramirez. Heres another standout performance from a rookie passer, as Kyler Murray showed well despite not having a huge amount of help when it came to receiving weapons deep down the field. What really helped him was that he took good care of the football and had solid all-around accuracy percentages, which means he wasn't punished outside of the inaccurate completions. Of course a QB could also be overly-aggressive or a poor decision-maker. Is the reviewer a Colts fan, for instance? Plus Andrew Callahan on the Pats Draft, and a Preview of Celtics-Sixers With Raheem Palmer. Stephen A. Smith details why Lamar Jackson is better positioned for a Super Bowl run than Aaron Rodgers. Drew Brees of New Orleans Saints sets NFL mark for 400-yard - ESPN Panama Jacksons True-ish Black Stories and Talking Freaknik, Im Not Gon Let You Play in My Damn Face. The Broncos on Monday picked up wide receiver Jerry Jeudy's fifth-year rookie option. However, his adjusted completion rate was one of the worst figures in all of football, and he had the highest rate of uncatchable, inaccurate passes on those targets. On the 37 deep attempts after he got in the lineup, he didnt have a single turnover-worthy play or interception, even if his numbers became a little inflated by work done after the catch by the likes of A.J. Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. Throws Ball Away Yes. Breess dominance isnt just defined by his place on all-time leaderboards, though, but rather by how many spots he occupies: He has four of the top six passing yardage seasons of all time and five of the top six completion percentage seasons. Did he peak in October or so and then decline? That results in the quarterback's efficiency score. . Not only he has better rate than Brisset, he gained an additional 550 yards in just 24 more attempts. I haven't seen an explanation if how this is determined. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Pro Football Focus has tracked quarterbacks deep passes (defined as passes thrown to targets more than 20 yards downfield) since 2006. The narrative surrounding Daniel Jones was so concentrated on his high mistake rate that I didnt realize quite how bad his deep passing numbers were. Henderson, who was already in New Orleans when Brees arrived, was the first. The biggest surprise from charting the 2017 season was the quality of Jacoby Brissetts play. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. I never said the QB shouldn't throw the jump ball. This is the fourth edition of the Deep Ball Project, which of course means I have been doing this since 2014. Now Hell Face LeBron and the Lakers. Elos spread: Baltimore -3. You don't expect a top receiver to let down his quarterback that many times. But if thats not good enough, you can also compare his results with others. Drew Brees, , - Career Stats - NBA - CBSSports.com Do you have a blog? Clicking on player names below will bring you to a more expanded section with more stats over at the Deep Ball Project website. With CeeDee Lamb added to the mix this year, he could appear even higher on this list come next season. All rights reserved. That inaccurate completions number is a perfect illustration of Keenum's luck last year and why the Vikings were right to let him go. When NFL legend Drew Brees suffered an injury on his throwing shoulder during the 2005 NFL season, it felt like his career was over. The Ravens are declining linebacker Patrick Queen's fifth-year option, a source told ESPN. And using a fanboard of evidence of anything is silly. While this is a surprise considering how bad the 49ers offensive line was last year, Kyle Shanahan's creative use of play-action and misdirection kept defenses guessing and made the pass protection look much better than it had any right to be. Drew Lock played 24 games over his career. Alex Smith's efficiency score was sixth. ex: Kirk Cousins had pretty close accurate totals (32 vs 30 here), but had 17(!) Jacoby Brissett's accuracy was below average to open windows, but he was easily the best tight-window passer downfield, with an incredible 65.9 percent of his passes to tight windows being accurate. By QBR, Brees is doing better this year than in 2019 another very short-passing season by historical standards despite throwing deep even less (and despite not having Thomas, who set the all-time NFL record for receptions in a season last year). He led the league in completion rate on these passes by over 10 percentage points and in adjusted completion rate by 20 percentage points. Roethlisberger was an excellent deep passer of the football that year, and that was contrasted starkly with the combination of Mason Rudolph and Devlin Hodges, who combined to replace him in 2019. There were complaints about receivers not getting open, and about calling long developing plays with a terrible o-line, but not about Brissett's arm strength or accuracy. This came with the same supporting cast, so what happened? Henderson played with the Saints until 2012, and caught six 50-plus yard touchdowns from Brees. Tannehill still wasnt the best deep passer in the world, but what made a difference was that he didnt make mistakes on those attempts. Falcons. The Writers Strike Deadline Is Here. Do you have a sports website? Here are our grades for all 32 squads. Drew Brees Career Stats | StatMuse The six interceptions dragged his efficiency down, but he was the second-most accurate overall downfield passer. (Its a funny joke to everybody not routinely giving up first downs to Michael Thomas on slant routes.) Brissett hit 51.5 percent of his deep throws (21+ yards), 16.1 percent above the league average (4th highest overall), but too often those big plays were ruined by one of his receivers. Burrow Brees Garoppolo Watson Herbert Cousins Murray Prescott Bridgewater Mahomes Pennington Ryan Warner Manning Rodgers Romo Rivers Wilson Carr Roethlisberger Brady Young 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 68.2 67.7 67.6 67.0 66.9 66.8 66.8 66.6 . Drew Brees Career Stats | StatMuse Drew Brees Authentic voice 6'0", 209 lbs Saints QB PCT 67.7 YDS 80,358 TD 571 RATE 98.7 Career Overview Stats Game Log Splits Bio Explore Drew Brees rookie season stats When was Drew Brees drafted? Despite having one of the leagues best deep threats in wideout Robby Anderson, Darnold was inefficient throwing deep, completing just 15 of his 51 deep shots in 2019. New Orleanss leading receiver this season by no small margin has been Kamara, whos tracking to be one of only five primary running backs to lead a team in receiving yards since 2006, according to ESPNs Stats & Information Group. Drew Brees - 20 - 95 OVR NFL Playoffs | Muthead PFF's exclusive metrics provide matchup previews, position rankings, grades, and snap counts. Ryan, of course, has some elite playmakers to throw the ball to downfield, so we should expect him to feature high on this list because of the favorable looks he will regularly see. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Marcus Mariota is right behind him at No. Elo likes the Ravens at home here, giving them a 60 percent chance at the victory, but the teams are pretty evenly matched, and it should be an excellent defensive battle. also new for 2017-18? His dominance came in short bursts and prolonged excellence: He holds the record for most touchdown passes in a game and in a career. Do you have a blog? In reply to I do not want to be trollish or dismissive by JohnxMorgan. The SPORTS REFERENCE and STATHEAD trademarks are owned exclusively by Sports Reference LLC. Deshaun Watson (67.0%), 5. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. In that August story about Brees's. It appears to be a strong argument, unlike everything else you said. His overall accuracy wasn't spectacular, but it was still good. Career Stats. Did certain QBs have the perfect storm of passes? drew brees career playoff stats Drew Brees had a passer rating of 97.1 with 5,366 yards, 37 touchdowns and 15 interceptions in 18 games in the playoffs in his career. In 2017, he was 7-for-15 on such throws. Birth date: January 15, 1979. It has been a magic act worth appreciating. Your bad arguments and bad attitude undermine a potentially valid point. Sixteen quarterbacks finished above the average for accuracy percentage, and the same number finished above the average for efficiency score. That's where the Deep Ball Project comes in, and it makes an effort to differentiate accuracy from completions. Birth City: Austin. However, Rivers did also suffer from the second-most drops in the league, and accounting for those drops jumps his completion rate up five places on its own. The smallest sample size, but very close in attempts (31 for Cian, 28 for John), yet Cian had 6 less accurate attempts. He didnt have a single turnover-worthy play on 49 deep shots as a rookie thats impressive. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Drew Brees vs. Jameis Winston Stats | FantasyPros drewbrees, PFR HOF Monitor: 140.58 (7th among QB, average HOF QB is 104.14). You can find the link to the 2017-18 Deep Ball Project here. Brady breaks Brees' career passing yards record, Brees all for Brady breaking passing yards mark, Spears has had it with Clark and Kellerman defending Manning. Neil Paine was the acting sports editor at FiveThirtyEight. His arm strength has steadily declined in recent seasons, and last year, his passes traveled shorter distances than any other NFL quarterback, with an intended air yards per target of 6.4 yards. Even with perfect and unbiased film charting, I don't think this can be tracked. But something changed in 2017. The only other comprehensive accuracy charting I know of is Cian Faheys Pre-Snap Reads books (if you know of more, I love this stuff so let me know). This is consistent with research that shows passes to running backs as being less valuable than those directed to other positions. 4th in 1999, Though he faced more pressure downfield, Foles was still able to get friendly reads because of the variety of play-calling that Doug Pederson provided. Though college comparisons are weak at best, Burrow was the best-graded deep passer in the nation in 2019, posting the best adjusted completion rate as well as the most completions, yards and touchdowns. Defends its Crown, 2022 Failed Completions: Justin Herbert Aims for the Record, XFL Week 6 Preview: Houston and D.C. in a Prime-Time Special, I do not want to be trollish or dismissive, Re: I do not want to be trollish or dismissive, Playoff Previews (previously Game Previews), 2017-18 Deep Ball Project: Throws of 16-Plus Air Yards, 2017-18 Deep Ball Project: Accuracy Percentage by Distance (Ranking in Parentheses), 2017-18 Deep Ball Project: Accuracy Percentage by Scenarios (Ranking in Parentheses), 2017-18 Deep Ball Project: Situational Rate Splits (Ranking in Parentheses). After Henderson, the team drafted Kenny Stills, who ran a 4.38 40-yard dash. Are you equally skeptical of FOs other semi-subjective charting on broken tackles, drops, and pressures? @Neil_Paine, NFL (976 posts) His completion rate was good, but six turnover-worthy plays hurt him overall, with five of those plays resulting in an interception. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Pittsburgh is undefeated and has dominated with its defense, though Ben Roethlisberger (Elos 13th-ranked QB) may be starting to show his age after below-average games in three of his past four starts. Drew Brees NFL Stats & News - rotowire.com Only six quarterbacks went the entire season without throwing a single inaccurate completion: Dak Prescott, Aaron Rodgers, Tyrod Taylor, Marcus Mariota, Nick Foles, and Jimmy Garoppolo. (Only Jimmy Garoppolo was lower.) Do they have predictive value?

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